Billionaire fund manager Ron Baron is doubling down on Tesla. Speaking publicly on May 12, Baron said he believes Tesla stock will reach $2,000 to $2,500 per share within the next ten years — a call that would put Tesla's market capitalization at roughly $8.3 trillion, making it one of the most valuable companies in human history.
Baron is no casual observer. The founder of Baron Capital has roughly 40% of his personal portfolio in Tesla and another 25% in SpaceX, according to statements he made around the 32nd Baron Conference in late 2025 — and he has pledged not to sell either position during his lifetime. At today's prices, a move to $2,500 would represent a roughly 5.7x gain from current levels.
The thesis isn't purely about cars. Baron has consistently pointed to Tesla's AI infrastructure — specifically the Dojo supercomputer and the Optimus humanoid robot program — as the real long-term value drivers. In his view, Tesla is less an automaker and more an AI and energy company that happens to manufacture vehicles. That framing, whether you agree with it or not, is what underpins a price target that sounds extreme against today's share price.
Baron has made bold Tesla calls before and been right over long horizons, though the path has never been straight. A $2,500 target over ten years requires sustained execution across robotaxi deployment, Optimus commercialization, and continued energy business growth — none of which are guaranteed. But for long-term Tesla holders, it's a reminder that the most convicted institutional voices haven't changed their view.
David covers the EV industry, regulatory developments, and accessory ecosystem. 15+ years writing about consumer tech. Based in London.
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